目前是第二十五个太阳活动周期，今年正处于下降期，预计会在2030年迎来活动的极小期，想请教一下各位经历过上个太阳活动周期的老HAM。在接下来几年的下降期以及2030年的极小期6m波段以及更高的2m波段传播的开通会受到多大的影响？是开通概率减小还是几乎完全没机会？

@"Mahiro6375"#p101887 群里有看到有人回复，极小期就连10米波段都几乎是零蛋了，更别提更高频段了。V段估计都要做视距通联了。

如果你说东亚中日韩，那我觉得差不多，因为本身大部分都靠Es，DX的话可能会少点，因为要走F2

感觉还行，会弱一些。但是周边3000km之内应该没问题，DX会弱一些，但是应该还是有不少的。

Will the V-band anomalous propagation during the solar minimum in 2030 be significantly affected?

Mahiro6375

Currently, we are in the 25th solar cycle, and it is currently in a declining phase. It is expected to reach its minimum activity period around 2030. I would like to ask experienced amateur radio operators who have gone through previous solar cycles. What impact will the next few years of declining activity and the 2030 minimum activity period have on propagation in the 6m and higher frequency bands? Will it result in a decrease in opening probability, or will there be almost no chance of opening?

BG7NOD

Mahiro6375 I saw someone in the group replying, and even at very low frequencies, it was almost impossible to get a signal. Forget about higher frequencies. The V-band is likely going to require line-of-sight communication.

BG2KAJ

If you say East Asia, specifically Japan and Korea, then it's roughly similar because most of them rely on Es. However, DX might be less common due to the need to use F2.

bg7xwf

It seems okay, but it will be weaker. However, there should still be plenty of DX within a radius of 3000 km.

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