如题，随着新规即将开始执行，爱好者数量会呈现新高，得益于目前国内ham的技术水平，已经涌现一批很好的软硬件技术（m哥天线，ft8cn，石家庄版jtdx等），我在想，爱好者群体中会出现一个无线电界的DJI么？如果能，按照趋势分析出现的大致时间会在什么时候？

m哥天线的几个产品我全都有，说实话并不是说天线技术有多好，就拿MA-12来说，就是一个拉杆GP天线，你自己弄一个拉杆DIY一下，也能大概弄成这个水平，我认为m哥的天线主要特点是精致，考虑到使用者的痛点，把各波段的刻度都印在拉杆上，即使你没有天分，把天线拉到刻度的位置，指标也大差不差，再看那个地网收纳盘，并没有技术含量，但是解决很大问题。再看那个正V天线，就用jpc-7天线对比一下，jpc-7的各种连接线都裸露在外面，而MA-50的整个底座巴伦是集成在一个金属盒子内的，没有任何裸露的部分，如果说jpc-7是一个优秀的DIY产品，那么MA-50就是一款精致的商品，尤其对于入门者，m哥天线肯定是更具有吸引力的。再说ft8cn和jtdx，这俩都属于软件应用层次的东西，只不过应用在了无线电领域，在中国，软件水平并不差，我认为这两个选项和无线电行业并没有太大关系。

M哥的天线我也有，确实对新手特别友好，商品化的产品确实便于入门操作，降低了无线电的门槛。我也在FT8CN的群里，看着作者一天天修改软件，把这个软件做的越来越好。中国的无线电圈子里正是有这些人才能让这个圈子吸引更多的人进来。不过个人感觉无线电是一个太小众的爱好，要想发展壮大，还是得有商业公司按照商业化的模式发展才会有可能发展壮大。话说大疆也是按这个路子走过来的，大疆开始搞无人机之前，我就在玩航模，那也是一个门槛比较高，更小众的一个圈子，大疆的进入是用更高的技术手段将入门门槛降低，并且向娱乐化、消费化去发展，从而变成了一个大众上手快速的一个娱乐化的商品，才火了起来。反观10多年前搞航模的那些公司，一直守着航模的固有形式做产品，10多年过去了还是一个样子。到现在再看，航模还是航模的圈子，没大多少，但是被大疆从中孵化出了消费级无人机这么一个成功的商业化产品。我想业余无线电大概也是这么一个情况吧，要发展就得有变革、有创新，降低入门门槛，找到消费者的兴趣点，也许可以再孵化出来另外一个像大疆一样的圈子吧。但是目前来看似乎还没有这样的企业出现。不过圈子大了是非就多了，想安安静静的玩无线电，现在这个样子也还好。

小众爱好，太难了，商业方面盈利能力没这么大。学会自己动手丰衣足食吧。

我只说说你举例的这两个： M哥天线：本身就是各种GP，楼上也说过，本身没什么技术难度，你自己买个拉杆一样能做出来，重点是新手友好石家庄jtdx：根据我使用来推测，并没有对jtdx核心机制做多大修改，相比较jtdx->wsjt的改进可以说很小，甚至早年版本提供了全自动，这是JT老爷子强烈禁止的，但是部分功能对BY用户友好。以上两个例子，并不说说他们做的不好（毕竟我也没做出来，可能让你觉得有酸葡萄嫌疑），只是说还没有达到**“得益于目前国内 ham 的技术水平”**。另外，我们再看看国外HAM目前微波方向，国内有几个能在GHz上面QSO的，寥寥无几，大量设备、天线还是在吃几十年前的资料，这个就很难了。甚至，VHF/UHF的ham都不是很多（当然这里不是说车台、手台这些通联），就30M带宽能搞出来什么花样.....

Could we see a similar phenomenon in the radio industry, like DJI?

BH3XZT

As the title suggests, with the new regulations about to be implemented, the number of enthusiasts will reach a high. This is due to the current level of domestic ham radio technology, which has already produced a number of excellent software and hardware technologies (such as Mr. M's antenna, FT8CN, and the Shijiazhuang version of JTDX). I was wondering if a DJI-like figure will emerge within the amateur radio community? If so, based on current trends, when would this likely occur?

BH2VYJ

I have all of m哥's antenna products, and I can honestly say that it's not just about the quality of the antenna technology. For example, the MA-12 is a simple pull-out GP antenna; you could probably build one yourself with some DIY effort, and achieve a similar level of performance. In my opinion, the main advantage of m哥's antennas is their precision. They take into account the user's pain points by printing the scale markings for each band on the pull-out lever, so even if you don't have an antenna expertise, you can easily adjust the antenna to the correct position and get good results. As for the ground wire storage tray, it doesn't require any special technical skills, but it solves a lot of problems. And finally, let's compare the straight V antenna with the jpc-7 antenna. The jpc-7 has all its connection cables exposed, while the MA-50 has an integrated metal housing with no exposed parts. If the jpc-7 is a great DIY product, then the MA-50 is a more refined and sophisticated product, especially for beginners.
Regarding ft8cn and jtdx, these both fall into the software application layer, but they are applied in the radio field. In China, the level of software is not bad, and I don't think these two options have much to do with the radio industry.

BI1LWR

I also have M's antenna, and it's definitely very user-friendly for beginners. The commercially available product makes it easy to get started and lowers the barrier to entry for radio communication.
I am also in the FT8CN group and have been watching the author gradually improve the software over time.
It's these individuals who are able to attract more people into the Chinese radio community.

However, from my personal perspective, amateur radio is a very niche hobby. To develop and grow it, commercial companies need to adopt a business-oriented approach.

It's worth noting that DJI also followed a similar path. Before DJI started producing drones, I was already involved in model aircraft, which is another niche market with high entry barriers. DJI lowered the barrier to entry by using advanced technology and shifted towards entertainment and consumer-oriented products, making it easy for anyone to use and enjoy. This approach led to its rapid success. In contrast, many companies that were active in the model aircraft industry over a decade ago continued to produce traditional model aircraft. Even after 10 years, their products remained largely unchanged. Looking back now, the model aircraft market is still relatively small, but DJI successfully commercialized it by developing consumer-grade drones.

I think that's probably the situation with amateur radio as well. To develop, it needs to undergo change and innovation, lower the entry barrier, find consumer interests, and perhaps even create another ecosystem like DJI. However, based on what I see now, there doesn't seem to be any such company yet.

However, with a larger community comes more conflict, and it's difficult to maintain a peaceful environment when everyone is using radios. This current situation is acceptable.

bi1pwk

Niche hobbies are too difficult; they don't have enough commercial potential to be profitable. Learn to make your own and provide for yourself.

BI1NIZ

I will just focus on the two examples you provided:
M's antenna: It's essentially a variety of GP (presumably referring to "General Purpose" or similar), and as I mentioned earlier, it doesn't require any special technical skills. You can easily build it yourself, just like assembling a drawer, the key is that it's beginner-friendly.
Shijiazhuang JTDX: Based on my usage, it appears that there have been only minor modifications to the core mechanism of JTDX, compared to JTDX->The improvements to WSJT can be considered quite minor, and even earlier versions offered fully automatic operation, which JT strongly discouraged. However, some features were user-friendly for BY users.
The two examples above don't criticize what they did, but rather point out that they haven't yet achieved it."This is thanks to the current level of technology for ham production in China."。

Furthermore, let's look at the current microwave direction of foreign HAMs. There are only a few in China that can achieve QSO on GHz frequencies, and they are very limited. Most equipment and antennas are based on information from decades ago, which makes it difficult. Even VHF/UHF ham operators are not many (of course, this doesn't mean that car radios or handheld radios can be used). What kind of tricks can you do with a 30 MHz bandwidth?

BG2KAJ

BI1NIZ Indeed

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